Forecast of the hottest natural rubber import mark

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Natural rubber import market forecast

it is understood that China's natural rubber import will continue to grow steadily in 2005. Since 2004, the import volume and price of natural rubber in China have increased significantly. Take Tianjin Port as an example: in the first seven months of 2004, the import of natural rubber at Tianjin Port was 57000 tons, an increase of 22% year-on-year; In terms of price, the average import price of natural rubber in the first seven months was US $1189/ton, an increase of 35% over the same period last year. On the whole, according to the customs data, China imported 110000 tons of natural rubber in August, 800000 tons in the first eight months, and the import from January to August increased by 4.0% year-on-year

as an important industrial raw material, natural rubber is widely used in various fields, in which the amount of tires accounts for more than half of the total. According to statistics, China produced more than 4.4 million cars in 2003, driving a substantial increase in tire production and consumption, and the demand for natural rubber increased by 40%

at present, China has become the largest consumer and importer of natural rubber in the world, and the demand also shows an increasing trend. At present, the output of natural rubber in China is about 500000 tons, accounting for only 7% of the world's total output, but the consumption accounts for more than 20% of the world's total consumption

natural rubber mainly comes from Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia, among which Thailand is the main natural rubber production area of how Jinan gold testing machine is maintained in the world. As a renewable resource, the price of natural rubber changes in a wavy manner under the influence of market supply and demand, and basically maintains a dynamic balance for a period of time

China's natural rubber imports mainly meet the needs of the tire manufacturing industry. At present, 70 ~ 80% of exported tires use imported natural rubber, which belongs to incoming processing. Since the beginning of this year, due to adverse factors such as heavy rainfall, the international production of natural rubber has decreased. At the same time, in order to protect prices, the three major rubber producing countries in the world, Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia, have reached an agreement on reducing production among the three countries, resulting in a reduction in the supply of natural rubber in the international market and an increase in prices

in the face of this situation, will China's natural rubber imports be affected in 2005? It is predicted that China's natural rubber imports will continue to grow steadily in 2005. There are four main reasons:

first, domestic demand is still strong. Although the national macro-control policy has been adopted this year, the automotive industry has been affected to a certain extent, on the whole, the automotive output will maintain a certain growth rate next year, which will drive the substantial increase in tire output and stimulate the demand for natural rubber

second, the tire industry is capital and technology intensive, which is the main reason for the current rise in vanadium prices. It is a centralized industry that requires a lot of capital investment. At present, the domestic tire industry as a whole is at a backward level. On the one hand, enterprises continue to upgrade and expand production capacity and level. On the other hand, international tire production giants are gradually shifting their production focus to China. At present, the six major tire enterprises in the world, except Pirelli, have invested and produced in China, and the scale is constantly expanding, which directly leads to an increase in the demand for raw materials such as natural rubber

the third national development and Reform Commission organized the compilation of the 2016 edition of the catalogue of key products and services in strategic emerging industries. The price of natural rubber in the domestic futures market rose sharply, much higher than the international market level, promoting the growth of imported natural rubber

fourth, in the past, China implemented quota management on natural rubber imports. Since January 1st, 2004, the state has cancelled the natural rubber import quota license. The implementation of this policy will also stimulate the import growth next year

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